Forecasting the effects of health reform on US physician workforce requirement : evidence from HMO staffing patterns.
This article provides an estimate of the effects of health reform on the US physician workforce requirement.
Its basic methodology is to extrapolate current patterns of staffing within managed care plans to the reshaped health care system of the year 2000.
In this analysis it is assumed that 40% to 65% of Americans will be receiving care from integrated managed care networks in the near future, and that all citizens will be covered by some type of health insurance.
On the basis of these assumptions, this article forecasts that in the year 2000, (1) there will be an overall surplus of about 165 000 patient care physicians ; (2) the requirement and supply of primary care physicians will be in relative balance ; and (3) the supply of specialists will outstrip the requirement by more than 60%.
Mots-clés Pascal : Système santé, Etats Unis, Restructuration, Médecin, Personnel sanitaire, Besoin, Effectif population, Homme, Amérique du Nord, Amérique
Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Health system, United States, Restructuration, Physician, Health staff, Need, Population number, Human, North America, America
Notice produite par :
Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique
Cote : 94-0641011
Code Inist : 002B30A01B. Création : 09/06/1995.