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  1. Effect of sexual behavior change on long-term human immunodeficiency virus prevalence among homosexual men.

    Article - En anglais

    Substantial changes in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) - related sexual behavior have been reported by virtually every survey of homosexual/bisexual men in the last decade.

    This paper uses a behavior-based simulation to examine how such changes are likely to affect the long-term future of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) epidemic among homosexual men.

    Data from the Longitudinal AIDS Impact Project in New York City are used to estimate age-specific patterns of unprotected anogenital contact and behavioral change from 1980 to 1991.

    Model projections are validated using New York City surveillance data on AIDS incidence from 1981 to 1991.

    The current levels of unsafe sex reported in the Longitudinal AIDS Impact Project are shown to be almost exactly on the epidemic threshold.

    Mots-clés Pascal : SIDA, Virose, Infection, Epidémiologie, Prévalence, Changement comportement, Comportement sexuel, Homosexualité, Bisexualité, Homme, Modèle simulation, New York, Etats Unis, Amérique du Nord, Amérique, Immunopathologie, Immunodéficit

    Mots-clés Pascal anglais : AIDS, Viral disease, Infection, Epidemiology, Prevalence, Behavior change, Sexual behavior, Homosexuality, Bisexuality, Human, Simulation model, New York, United States, North America, America, Immunopathology, Immune deficiency

    Logo du centre Notice produite par :
    Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique

    Cote : 94-0624940

    Code Inist : 002B06D01. Création : 09/06/1995.