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  1. Fulltext. Estimating clinical morbidity due to ischemic heart disease and congestive heart failure : the future rise of heart failure.

    Article - En anglais



    Many developed countries have seen declining mortality rates for heart disease, together with an alleged decline in incidence and a seemingly paradoxial increase in health care demands.

    This paper presents a model for forecasting the plausible evolution of heart disease morbidity.


    The simulation model combines data from different sources.

    It generates acute coronary event and mortality rates from published data on incidences, recurrences, and lethalities of different heart disease conditions and interventions.

    Forecasts are based on plausible scenarios for declining incidence and increasing survival.

    Mots-clés Pascal : Ischémie, Myocarde, Insuffisance cardiaque, Morbidité, Mortalité, Modèle prévision, Homme, Pays Bas, Europe, Appareil circulatoire pathologie, Vaisseau sanguin pathologie, Cardiopathie coronaire, Myocarde pathologie

    Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Ischemia, Myocardium, Heart failure, Morbidity, Mortality, Forecast model, Human, Netherlands, Europe, Cardiovascular disease, Vascular disease, Coronary heart disease, Myocardial disease

    Logo du centre Notice produite par :
    Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique

    Cote : 94-0189888

    Code Inist : 002B12A03. Création : 199406.