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  1. Fulltext. Forecasting the number of diabetic patients in The Netherlands in 2005.

    Article - En anglais

    Fulltext.

    Objectives

    There is evidence from past decades that the number of diabetic patients has increased independently of changes in demography.

    A static model that takes into account only demographic changes is therefore unable to forecast the expected number of diabetic patients correctly.

    Methods

    We developed a dynamic model in which actual incidence, prevalence, and life expectancy data are used and alternative assumptions about future trends in these parameters can be incorporated.

    Mots-clés Pascal : Perspective, Diabète, Modèle statistique, Prédiction, Homme, Pays Bas, Europe, Modèle dynamique, Endocrinopathie, Etude comparative, Méthodologie

    Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Perspective, Diabetes mellitus, Statistical model, Prediction, Human, Netherlands, Europe, Dynamic model, Endocrinopathy, Comparative study, Methodology

    Logo du centre Notice produite par :
    Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique

    Cote : 93-0546498

    Code Inist : 002B30A01A1. Création : 199406.