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  1. Measuring the long-term effects of public policy : the case of narcotics use and property crime.

    Article - En anglais

    The effects of treatment and legal supervision on narcotics use and criminal activities were assessed by applying newly developed time-series methods that disentangle the long-term (permanent) and the short-term (temporary) effects of intervention.

    A multivariate systems approach was used to characterize the dynamic interplay of several related behaviors at a group level over a long period of time.

    Five variables-abstinence from narcotics use, daily narcotics use (or addiction), property crime methadone maintenance treatment, and legal supervision-were derived by aggregating information from over 600 narcotic addiction histories averaging 12 years in length.

    Because of the long assessment period, age was also included as a control variable.

    Overall, the system dynamics among the variables were characterized by long-term rather than short-term relationships.

    Mots-clés Pascal : Politique sociale, Toxicomanie, Délinquance, Evaluation, Efficacité, Analyse statistique, Série temporelle, Etude longitudinale, Long terme, Méthodologie, Homme

    Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Social policy, Drug addiction, Delinquency, Evaluation, Efficiency, Statistical analysis, Time series, Follow up study, Long term, Methodology, Human

    Logo du centre Notice produite par :
    Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique

    Cote : 92-0077028

    Code Inist : 002B18B03. Création : 199406.