The method of backcalculation was applied to national surveillance data on the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in order to estimate the cumulative number of adults with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection as of january 1, 1985 and July 1, 1987.
A « plausible range » of estimates was constructed which reflected both uncertainty about the AIDS incubation distribution and random variation from selection and fitting of flexible models of the HIV-1 infection curve.
The authors estimated that, as of 1985, 411,000 to 756,000 persons were infected.
Mots-clés Pascal : Virose, Lentivirinae, Retroviridae, Virus, Amérique du Nord, Amérique, Immunodéficit acquis syndrome, Infection, Virus immunodéficience humaine, Homme, Epidémiologie, Méthodologie, Incubation, Prévalence, Race, Risque, Estimation, Immunopathologie, Hémopathie, Etats Unis
Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Viral disease, Lentivirinae, Retroviridae, Virus, North America, America, AIDS, Infection, Human immunodeficiency virus, Human, Epidemiology, Methodology, Incubation, Prevalence, Race, Risk, Estimation, Immunopathology, Hemopathy, United States
Notice produite par :
Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique
Cote : 91-0549454
Code Inist : 002B06D01. Création : 199406.