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  1. Prognostic factors for mortality in nasopharyngeal cancer : accounting for time-dependence of relative risks.

    Article - En anglais

    Background Few studies have assessed the role of prognostic factors for mortality from nasopharyngeal cancer and even fewer used multivariable methods.

    Most of these studies relied on the Cox model without testing the proportional hazards assumption.

    Methods A cohort of 76 cases of nasopharyngeal cancer recorded in the Rhône, France, between 1980 and 1985, was followed until 1995.

    Proportional hazards assumption was tested for each putative prognostic factor.

    Two multivariable models were built using forward selection of prognostic factors : the Cox model and a flexible model in which variables not meeting the proportional hazards assumption were represented by a time-varying hazard ratio.

    Results Only Epstein Barr Virus Nuclear Antigen (EBNA) serology, a marker of infection by the Epstein-Barr virus, and tumoral extent were selected in the analysis based on the Cox model.

    In contrast, four prognostic factors were significant at alpha=0.05 level in the flexible model : initial EBNA serology, tumoral histology, age and tumoral extent, the last two not verifying the proportional hazards assumption.

    The relative risk of age increases with duration of follow-up whereas the effect of tumoral extent changes in a non-monotonic pattern.

    Conclusion We showed the importance of taking into account the non-proportionality of hazards which can influence results and yield new insights about the role of prognostic factors in nasopharyngeal cancer. (...)

    Mots-clés Pascal : Mortalité, Tumeur maligne, Nasopharynx, Epidémiologie, Pronostic, Indicateur, Facteur prédictif, Homme, France, Europe, ORL pathologie, Pharynx pathologie

    Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Mortality, Malignant tumor, Nasopharynx, Epidemiology, Prognosis, Indicator, Predictive factor, Human, France, Europe, ENT disease, Pharynx disease

    Logo du centre Notice produite par :
    Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique

    Cote : 99-0000932

    Code Inist : 002B10A01. Création : 31/05/1999.