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  1. Estimating changes in unrecorded alcohol consumption in Norway using indicators of harm.

    Article - En anglais

    Aim

    To assess the value of using indicators of alcohol-related harm to estimate changes in unrecorded per capita consumption of alcohol.

    Design

    Unrecorded consumption was estimated from the discrepancy between the observed changes in a number of alcohol-related harm indicators and the changes that would be expected from changes in recorded consumption.

    The results were compared with estimates of unrecorded consumption from survey data.

    Measurements

    Four indicators of alcohol-related harm were used : alcohol-related mortality, assaults, drunken driving, and suicide.

    Estimates of unrecorded consumption from survey data for five different years were used as benchmarks.

    Findings

    The best performing indicators were alcohol-related mortality, suicide and assaults, in that order.

    Combining these indicators yielded a prediction error averaging 12% in comparison with the benchmarks.

    Conclusions

    The method seems worthy of further applications, but it should be regarded as a supplement rather than as a substitute for other approaches.

    Mots-clés Pascal : Consommation, Ethanol, Homme, Norvège, Europe, Enquête, Toxicité, Mortalité, Suicide, Prédiction, Estimation, Corrélation

    Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Consumption, Ethanol, Human, Norway, Europe, Survey, Toxicity, Mortality, Suicide, Prediction, Estimation, Correlation

    Logo du centre Notice produite par :
    Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique

    Cote : 98-0485971

    Code Inist : 002B18B03. Création : 19/02/1999.