Pediatric gastroenterology workforce survey and future supply and demand.
The North American Society for Pediatric Gastroenterology and Nutrition (NASPGN) performed a Workforce Survey to determine the current number and distribution of pediatric gastroenterologists in the United States and Canada and to estimate the supply and demand in the future in the United States.
The response rate was more than 90%. There were 624 pediatric gastroenterologists in the United States, and 48 in Canada.
There were 2.4 pediatric gastroenterologists per million population in the United States, ranging from 3.1 per million in the Northeast to 1.9 per million in the West, and 1.6 per million in Canada.
In the United States, fewer than 5 pediatric gastroenterologists retire each year, but more than 40 fellows per year complete training.
In the United States, 30% of pediatric gastroenterologists believe there is already an excess supply ; only 12% believe there is a shortage (p<0.001).
If the number of fellows who complete training each year remains unchanged, in 10 years there will be more than 950 pediatric gastroenterologists in the United States (3.3 per million population).
At the same time, if the demand for pediatric gastroenterologists remains 2.4 per million population, there will be a demand for only 675.
If these assumptions are correct, it is necessary to reduce the number of fellows to be trained. (...)
Mots-clés Pascal : Soin santé primaire, Evaluation, Questionnaire, Densité population, Médecin, Spécialité médicale, Pédiatrie, Prévision, Demande thérapeutique, Localisation, Qualification, Résultat, Homme
Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Primary health care, Evaluation, Questionnaire, Population density, Physician, Medical specialty, Pediatrics, Forecasting, Therapeutical request, Localization, Qualification, Result, Human
Notice produite par :
Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique
Cote : 98-0075177
Code Inist : 002B30A05. Création : 14/05/1998.