Uncertainty modelling, data assimilation and decision support for management of off-site nuclear emergencies.
International Workshop on Real-time Computing of the Environmental Consequences of an Accident Release from a Nuclear Installation. Aronsborg (SWE), 1996/10/07.
Decision support systems for off-site nuclear emergency management must address the inherent uncertainty in an evolving and effectively unique accident sequence.
From the earliest moments when an accidental release threatens, through any release, to the long term consequences arising from the resulting contamination, there are many uncertainties to be weighed in selecting countermeasure strategies.
Many of these uncertainties can be reduced through the careful collection and analysis of variety of data.
The ways in which data can and should be analysed to achieve this are discussed.
It is argued that there is no place for ad hoc approaches in designing a complex decision support system to underpin emergency management.
The analyses must fit together so that data and assessments of uncertainty can be passed from module to module in a seamless fashion.
Mots-clés Pascal : Système aide décision, Modélisation, Procédure urgence, Radiocontamination, Analyse risque, Radioprotection, Incertitude, Estimation, Accident nucléaire
Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Decision support system, Modeling, Emergency procedure, Radioactive contamination, Risk analysis, Radioprotection, Uncertainty, Estimation
Notice produite par :
Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique
Cote : 98-0024932
Code Inist : 002B30A01C. Création : 17/04/1998.