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  1. Predicting who dies depends on how severity is measured : implications for evaluating patient outcomes.

    Article - En anglais

    Objective 

    To determine whether assessments of illness severity, defined as risk for in-hospital death, varied across four severity measures..

    Design 

    Retrospective cohort study..

    Setting 

    100 hospitals using the MedisGroups severity measure..

    Patients 

    11 880 adults managed medically for acute myocardial infarction ; 1574 in-hospital deaths (13.2%).. Measurements : For each patient, probability of death was predicted four times, each time by using patient age and sex and one of four common severity measures : 1) admission MedisGroups scores for probability of death scores ; 2) scores based on values for 17 physiologic variables at time of admission ; 3) Disease Staging's probability-of-mortality model ; and 4) All Patient Refined Diagnosis Related Groups (APR-DRGs).

    Results 

    MedisGroups and the physiology score gave 94.7% of patients similar rankings.

    Disease Staging, MedisGroups, and the physiology score gave only 78% of patients similar rankings.

    MedisGroups and APR-DRGs gave 80% of patients similar rankings.

    Patients whose illnesses were more severe according to MedisGroups and the physiology score were more likely to have the six clinical findings than were patients whose illnesses were more severe according to Disease Staging and APR-DRGs..

    Conclusions 

    Some pairs of severity measures assigned very different severity levels to more than 20% of patients.

    Mots-clés Pascal : Mortalité, Prédiction, Economie santé, Système santé, Mort, Service hospitalier, Epidémiologie, Homme, Amérique du Nord, Amérique

    Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Mortality, Prediction, Health economy, Health system, Death, Hospital ward, Epidemiology, Human, North America, America

    Logo du centre Notice produite par :
    Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique

    Cote : 96-0024449

    Code Inist : 002B30A11. Création : 01/03/1996.