To illustrate quantitatively the effect of the aging of the population on the prevalence of chronic disorders by comparing the projected frequency of musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders in 3 comparatively « young » countries, Australia, Canada, and the United States, and 3 comparatively « old » countries, France, the United Kingdom, and Sweden.
Age specific rates for MSK disability in Canada were applied to World Bank population estimates and projections to estimate prevalence rates and numbers of persons with MSK disability in the years 1985,2000,2010, and 2020.
The age structure of the populations affected baseline rates for MSK disability.
Increases in both prevalence and numbers affected are expected for all countries between 1985 and 2020, up to a 34% increase in prevalence in Canada, and an 88% increase in numbers in Australia.
The aging of the population is likely to result in a disproportionate increase in the number of people with chronic disabling disorders, which will be taking place against a background of a decreasing or static number of younger adults, with implications for meeting needs for health care and community support.
Mots-clés Pascal : Muscle strié pathologie, Système ostéoarticulaire pathologie, Homme, Epidémiologie, Prévalence, Classe âge, Structure population, Sénescence, Etude impact, Pays industrialisé, Echelon international, Etude comparative, Chronique
Mots-clés Pascal anglais : Striated muscle disease, Diseases of the osteoarticular system, Human, Epidemiology, Prevalence, Age distribution, Population structure, Senescence, Impact study, Industrialized country, International scope, Comparative study, Chronic
Notice produite par :
Inist-CNRS - Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique
Cote : 95-0576866
Code Inist : 002B15I. Création : 01/03/1996.